PERFECTLY HEDGED BLOG

Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

What is a Futures Trade?

Most of the time, hedging a commodity involves entering into a futures contract on a relevant exchange, but what exactly is a futures trade?

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Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

Hedging Vs. Leaving It To Chance

For most commodity companies, hedging is not a choice, the concept is ingrained in their trading philosophy in order to protect their margins (and their lenders) against movements in the outright prices of the commodities they trade. But why exactly is this the case?

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Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

Arbitrage Profits Vs. Tariff Risk

While the recent spike in CME/LME copper arbitrage has given an opportunity for traders to bank huge profits, the potential for earlier than expected tariffs are causing serious worries.

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Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

Just Borrow The Spread

While some companies like to try and extract additional profits by trading nearby spreads, for most companies borrowing the spread well in advance of futures becoming prompt is the most prudent approach.

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Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

What is Mark-to-Market (M2M)

An accurate mark-to-market (MTM) ensures traders and businesses always know the real value of their positions. But how does it work, and why does it matter?

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Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

Warrant Deliveries

We know why traders and consumers turn to the exchange when metal is scarceโ€”tight markets, producer outages, and supply shocks can create an urgent need for material. But hereโ€™s the real question: ๐—ช๐—ต๐˜† ๐˜„๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—น๐—ฑ ๐—ฎ ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ผ๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ฒ๐˜…๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ต๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜€๐—ฒ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ฝ๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ?

Whatโ€™s in it for them?
How do massive amounts of metal suddenly appear on the exchange?
What drives these deliveries?

Warrant deliveries remain one of the most misunderstood (and whispered about) aspects of metal trading. This article breaks it all downโ€”the how, why, and financial incentives behind these moves.

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Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

Hedged Repos

Hedged repos can be a great tool for all of those in the commodity supply chain to reduce stress on bank lines and margin accounts.

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Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

Bitcoin as a Hedge?

Is Bitcoin really a hedge against traditional financial markets? This article explores the relationship between Bitcoin and some major traditional investments.

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Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

Shifting Strategies: Metal Trading

Some of the worldโ€™s most powerful oil traders, including Gunvor, Vitol, and Mercuria, are now aggressively expanding into metals.
Why? Because as oil market volatility stabilises, metals present a massive opportunityโ€”especially with the energy transition fuelling soaring demand.
Copper shortages could reach 10 million metric tons by 2035.
Lithium, nickel, and rare earth minerals are under immense supply pressure.
Geopolitical shifts are reshaping global trade flows.
But metals trading isnโ€™t for the faint of heart.
Margins are compressing, fraud remains a major risk, and only those with deep expertise will thrive.
So, what does it take to succeed in this evolving market?

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Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

Should small commodity companies trade physical aluminum?

This is a question Iโ€™ve often asked myself, and I still donโ€™t have a completely convincing answer. Unlike other refined metals like copper, zinc, and leadโ€”where you must trade the physical metal to capture changes in premiumsโ€”๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜‚๐—บ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜‚๐—บ ๐—ผ๐—ณ๐—ณ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—ผ๐—ฝ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป.

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Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

RV Trading

Hedging is often viewed as a pure risk management toolโ€”something used by companies looking to avoid outright price exposure. But can speculators hedge too?

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Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

A Common Misconception: Hedging Creates More Problems Than It Solves

One of the biggest fears companies have about hedging is getting caught in a ๐—ฏ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ธ๐˜„๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป, which can impact profitability. But avoiding hedging due to this fear can expose businesses to even greater risks.

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Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

Back-pricings

In physical commodity contracts, back-pricings exists when the quotational period (QP) offers at least two pricing options. Crucially, the QPโ€™s declaration date must fall after at least one of the pricing periods has passed.

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Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

Truck Capacities in the USA

Sometimes there are simple solutions that solve multi-layered problems. I thought of one such example that could have a dramatic impact on US commodities, inflation, and fuel consumption, among other issues: Truck Capacities

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Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

A New Approach For Exchanges

We are extremely fortunate that for base metals, there are multiple highly liquid exchanges that allow companies to hedge their price risk. However, this is not the case for all commodities, and even within base metals there are varying levels of liquidity.

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Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

The Natural Hedge

Let's take a look at what some companies assume is the best way to handle their underlying price risk - a 'natural' hedge. In fact, a true natural hedge is not common and most of these companies are actually speculating on prices, rather than mitigating their risks.

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Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

What is a Title Document

Over the past year we have seen repeated cases of fraud in the commodities industry, ranging from small cases all the way up to billion dollar crimes. Often the key to these cases of fraud stems from a fake or doctored title documents, but what exactly is a title document. This article explores what title documents are and what can go wrong.

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